PHARMACOKINETICS · MODELLING

PBPK model

abbreviation: PBPK · full name: physiologically based pharmacokinetic model

A mathematical framework that describes drug absorption, distribution, metabolism, and excretion using actual physiological parameters — organ volumes, blood flows, enzyme abundances, and tissue partitioning — rather than empirical compartments. PBPK models enable prospective predictions for special populations, drug interactions, and paediatric dosing, and are accepted by FDA and EMA for regulatory submissions.

Model type
Mechanistic / physiological
Key inputs
CLint, fu,p, Kp, Peff, organ volumes
Regulatory use
DDI waiver, paediatric dose, HI/RI
Major platforms
Simcyp, GastroPlus, PK-Sim

PBPK Modeling: FDA and EMA Regulatory Applications

PBPK modeling (physiologically-based pharmacokinetic modeling) has become an indispensable tool in modern drug development. Unlike empirical compartmental models, PBPK models integrate actual physiological parameters — organ volumes, blood flows, enzyme abundances, and transporter expression — with drug-specific properties to predict concentration-time profiles in plasma and tissues.

The FDA PBPK Guidance for Industry outlines the format and content requirements for PBPK analyses submitted in regulatory applications. A primary use case is drug-drug interaction prediction: PBPK models can simulate the effect of CYP inhibitors and inducers on a new drug's exposure, potentially replacing costly clinical DDI studies. The EMA Guideline on the Investigation of Drug Interactions similarly accepts qualified PBPK models for DDI risk assessment.

Beyond DDI prediction, PBPK modeling supports dose recommendations in special populations (hepatic impairment, renal impairment, paediatrics, pregnancy), food-effect predictions, and formulation bridging. The three major software platforms — Simcyp (Certara), GastroPlus (Simulations Plus), and PK-Sim (Open Systems Pharmacology) — each offer validated physiological databases and have regulatory precedent. PubMed literature on PBPK applications: PubMed PBPK research.

Frequently asked questions

What is a PBPK model?
A PBPK model represents the body as a system of physiologically realistic compartments. Core structure: Tissues (lung, liver, gut, kidney, muscle, adipose, etc.) → each with volume Vt and blood flow Qt; Drug properties: CLint (intrinsic clearance), fu,p (plasma unbound fraction), Kp (tissue:plasma partition coefficient), Peff (intestinal permeability); Physiological parameters: from species databases (human: liver volume ~1.7 L, hepatic blood flow ~1.65 L/min). Drug concentration in each tissue governed by: dCt/dt = Qt(Cart − Ct/Kp) − CLt·Ct. Validated predictions replace or reduce clinical studies in: DDI, special populations, paediatrics. See pharmacokinetics basics and EMA PBPK guideline update (Nov 2026).
How do regulatory agencies use PBPK models for drug approval?
Regulatory PBPK uses (FDA/EMA accepted): (1) DDI waivers — replace in vivo CYP DDI study when: model qualified on ≥3 structurally similar perpetrators; predicted AUC ratio within 2-fold of observed; EMA Rev.2 guideline mandates verification dataset separate from training set; (2) Hepatic impairment — Child-Pugh A/B/C predictions using scaled CLint (from in vitro data × scaling factors) with adjusted liver volume and blood flow from population physiological data; (3) Renal impairment — GFR-scaled renal secretion, revised Kp; (4) Paediatrics — PBPK scales from adult to child by adjusting organ sizes, blood flows, CYP ontogeny profiles, plasma protein concentrations, gastric pH — recommended in FDA draft paediatric guidance 2024 and EMA PIP process. Acceptance criteria: AAFE (average absolute fold error) ≤2-fold for Cmax and AUC. See EMA PBPK guideline finalised Nov 2026.
What software platforms are used for PBPK modelling?
Comparison of major PBPK platforms: Simcyp (Certara): GUI-based, integrated CYP ontogeny, population-trial simulation, most regulatory precedent (>300 FDA submissions); GastroPlus (Simulations Plus): ACAT gut absorption module, excels at oral bioavailability, formulation, BCS biowaivers; PK-Sim / MoBi (Open Systems Pharmacology): fully open source, programmable model building, active community, 18-species database, accepted in EMA submissions. All three platforms participate in FDA/EMA workshops. Selection depends on: regulatory precedent needed (Simcyp), absorption focus (GastroPlus), academic/open-source requirements (PK-Sim). Related: allometric scaling, pharmacy informatics summit.
How is PBPK used for paediatric dose extrapolation?
Paediatric PBPK parameter adjustments: CYP ontogeny — CYP3A4: ~20% adult at birth → 100% by 1–2y; CYP2D6: 0% → 100% by 12 months; CYP1A2: minimal until ~3 months; Organ volumes (% body weight at term neonate vs adult): liver 4.4% vs 2.6%, kidney 0.86% vs 0.43%, adipose 12% vs 22%; Protein binding: albumin 75–80% adult levels in term neonate; alpha-1-acid glycoprotein very low in neonates; GFR: 2–4 mL/min/1.73m² at 28w gestational age → adult 120 mL/min/1.73m² by 12 months; Gastric pH: near-neutral at birth → pH 1–2 by 3 years. EMA Paediatric Investigation Plans and FDA Paediatric Study Plans both accept PBPK-predicted first dose for clinical evaluation. See PK basics guide and EMA guideline.